I don't know if I "trust" anyone for weather but I can see the predictions. I know sometimes they expect rain and it doesn't but I know its only a prediction and not a certainty.
I'm in the same situation with it not getting that cold very often. I think we had a cold snap that had the coldest temps recorded here in 100 years (that was when the pipes ruptured). Its been getting colder every winter & more pipes keep bursting. Pipes here aren't buried very deep like in your area.
Today I did my shoulder exercises & got my arm to lift a few more inches higher. Still won't go straight up, but I'm making progress. I put my back against the door while using the rope pulley thing and pulled down with my right arm to pull my left arm up more. I turned sideways to try to stretch it up to the side a bit more (but that motion is less flexible). I can reach behind my back a little bit and I can reach away from me to grab stuff without pain (so long as I don't stretch too much).
I went to get mail and while waiting in line to get my packages there were a couple of kids running around playing. Their mother was quietly trying to get them to calm down but they were too full of energy. They weren't causing any harm and it was good to see kids actually playing instead of having faces buried in phones. I envied their energy.
I took some pictures of the peeling paint on my truck (happened after I took it through the car wash when it was too cold).
Pic doesn't show it so well, but the paint on the hood is the worst-- it's curling up like dead leaves. I don't know what the black stuff is, it doesn't want to come off easily but when I try it turns red.
This is where paint came off on the side of the bed:
A little bit on the door
A small strip peeling near the windshield
This last chip was caused by the accident in 2018 when the drunk driver ran into my fender and bent my hood. The body shop that worked on it refused to paint that part for some reason. They also spilled paint thinner inside the vehicle and ruined the PU leather on the arm rests but I think that place went out of business now.
I got the Duplicolor touch-up stick that will scrape off rust and let me brush on the matching paint and then do clearcoat, but I don't think that would work for some of the larger areas like the spot on the hood (not that I can even reach the spot on the hood without some sort of stepstool or ladder).
I'm thinking the hood might require spray paint (which duplicolor makes). Will have to sand it and try to smooth the edges though. I don't need it to be perfect, but I want to prevent rust and more paint peeling.
(As an aside, that black crud never comes off in the car wash and I tried washing it off myself but had trouble and then I fell getting out of the truck bed and hurt my right shoulder- which was sore for months).
Anyone done touch-up paint on a vehicle before? I don't have a garage or covered area so that complicates things-- but I'm thinking of getting a tent. Would be cheaper than going to the local body shop that takes forever & leaves orange peel texture after charging thousands of $$.